Sea Ice growth management

Sea ice, North-West Spitsbergen National Park, Svalbard

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Sea ice is frozen seawater that floats on the ocean surface. It forms in both the Arctic and the Antarctic in each hemisphere’s winter, and it retreats, but does not completely disappear, in the summer.

Year: 2015


Photographer: Peter Prokosch

References

Arctic sea ice extent has rapidly decreased over the last few decades, with most multi-year ice disappearing altogether. This has already had major effects on local communities and ecosystems. The disappearance of the relatively reflective sea ice also leads to a dramatic decrease of albedo in the Arctic and subsequent high energy uptakes by the darker water during the Arctic summers.

In 2010, Veli Albert Kallio suggested the use of ‘floating cables or levees, even platforms’, to act as ‘seeding points to fasten the seasonal growth of the Arctic Ocean's sea ice.’ (Geoengineering Google Groups n.d.) Even if multiyear ice disappeared, he claimed such schemes might be used to stimulate the growth of ice, which would then lead to thicker ice the next year which would reflect more sunlight for a longer time.

Technological Readiness Level (TRL)

Low 1

This idea was probably not explored further.

Technological Readiness Level (TRL)

A technology with a TRL of 1-3: TRL 1 – Basic; TRL 2 – Concept formulated; TRL 3 – Experimental proof of concept

Scalability

Low 1

0

Scalability

Physically unable to scale; sub-linear/logarithmic efficiency of scalability

Timeliness for near-future effects

Low 1

0

Timeliness for near-future effects

Implemented too late to make a significant difference

Northern + Arctic potential

Low 1

0

Northern + Arctic potential

No noticeable extra positive effect beyond the global average; technology is unsuited to the Arctic

Global potential

Low 1

0

Global potential

Insignificant to be detected at a global scale

Cost - benefit

Low 3

0

Cost - benefit

Low investment cost compared to the avoided damage cost (e.g., a few %) and/or inexpensive relative to other measures with similar impact

Environmental risks

Medium 2

0

Environmental risks

More widespread and possibly regional impacts that extend beyond the immediate solution deployment location

Community impacts

Unknown 0

0

Ease of reversibility

Easy 3

0

Ease of reversibility

Easily reversible naturally

Risk of termination shock

Low 3

0

Risk of termination shock

Low or insignificant termination shock or damage

Legality/governance

Medium 2

0

Legality/governance

Fits within existing structures to a certain degree, but some policy changes are needed to deploy at scale

Scientific/media attention

Low 1

The idea seems not to have been picked up after having been suggested.

Scientific/media attention

Very low attention from individuals and/or abandoned ideas; low media attention; no commercial interest.

References

Geoengineering Google Group. n.d. Annex - Comments from Geoengineering Google Group. In: Compendium to the University of the Arctic Rapid Response Assessment: Frozen Arctic. A. van Wijngaarden, B. Alfthan, J. Moore, L. Kullerud, T. Kurvits, O. Mulelid, and E. Husabø, 2023. Compendium to the University of the Arctic Rapid Response Assessment: Frozen Arctic. UArctic, GRID-Arendal, and Arctic Centre/University of Lapland. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8408608 

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