Sea Ice growth management
Arctic sea ice extent has rapidly decreased over the last few decades, with most multi-year ice disappearing altogether. This has already had major effects on local communities and ecosystems. The disappearance of the relatively reflective sea ice also leads to a dramatic decrease of albedo in the Arctic and subsequent high energy uptakes by the darker water during the Arctic summers.
In 2010, Veli Albert Kallio suggested the use of ‘floating cables or levees, even platforms’, to act as ‘seeding points to fasten the seasonal growth of the Arctic Ocean's sea ice.’ (Geoengineering Google Groups n.d.) Even if multiyear ice disappeared, he claimed such schemes might be used to stimulate the growth of ice, which would then lead to thicker ice the next year which would reflect more sunlight for a longer time.
Analysis overview
Technological Readiness Level (TRL)
Low 1
Technological Readiness Level (TRL)
A technology with a TRL of 1-3: TRL 1 – Basic; TRL 2 – Concept formulated; TRL 3 – Experimental proof of concept
Scalability
Low 1
Scalability
Physically unable to scale; sub-linear/logarithmic efficiency of scalability
Timeliness for near-future effects
Low 1
Timeliness for near-future effects
Implemented too late to make a significant difference
Northern + Arctic potential
Low 1
Northern + Arctic potential
No noticeable extra positive effect beyond the global average; technology is unsuited to the Arctic
Global potential
Low 1
Global potential
Insignificant to be detected at a global scale
Cost - benefit
Low 3
Cost - benefit
Low investment cost compared to the avoided damage cost (e.g., a few %) and/or inexpensive relative to other measures with similar impact
Environmental risks
Medium 2
Environmental risks
More widespread and possibly regional impacts that extend beyond the immediate solution deployment location
Community impacts
Unknown 0
Ease of reversibility
Easy 3
Ease of reversibility
Easily reversible naturally
Risk of termination shock
Low 3
Risk of termination shock
Low or insignificant termination shock or damage
Legality/governance
Medium 2
Legality/governance
Fits within existing structures to a certain degree, but some policy changes are needed to deploy at scale
Scientific/media attention
Low 1
Scientific/media attention
Very low attention from individuals and/or abandoned ideas; low media attention; no commercial interest.
References
Geoengineering Google Group. n.d. Annex - Comments from Geoengineering Google Group. In: Compendium to the University of the Arctic Rapid Response Assessment: Frozen Arctic. A. van Wijngaarden, B. Alfthan, J. Moore, L. Kullerud, T. Kurvits, O. Mulelid, and E. Husabø, 2023. Compendium to the University of the Arctic Rapid Response Assessment: Frozen Arctic. UArctic, GRID-Arendal, and Arctic Centre/University of Lapland. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8408608