Pykrete usage
Arctic sea ice extent has rapidly decreased over the last few decades, with most multi-year ice disappearing altogether. This has already had major effects on local communities and ecosystems. The disappearance of the relatively reflective sea ice also leads to a dramatic decrease of albedo in the Arctic and subsequent high energy uptakes by the darker water during the Arctic summers.
Analysis overview
Technological Readiness Level (TRL)
Medium 2
Technological Readiness Level (TRL)
A technology with a TRL of 4-6: TRL 4 – validated in lab; TRL 5 – validated in relevant environment; TRL 6 – demonstrated in relevant environment
Scalability
Medium 2
Scalability
Physically somewhat scalable; linear efficiency
Timeliness for near-future effects
Medium 2
Timeliness for near-future effects
Implemented in time to make some difference, although questionable
Northern + Arctic potential
Low 1
Northern + Arctic potential
No noticeable extra positive effect beyond the global average; technology is unsuited to the Arctic
Global potential
Low 1
Global potential
Insignificant to be detected at a global scale
Cost - benefit
Low 3
Cost - benefit
Low investment cost compared to the avoided damage cost (e.g., a few %) and/or inexpensive relative to other measures with similar impact
Environmental risks
Medium 2
Environmental risks
More widespread and possibly regional impacts that extend beyond the immediate solution deployment location
Community impacts
Neutral 2
Community impacts
Unnoticeable or negligible positive or negative effects
Ease of reversibility
Medium 2
Ease of reversibility
Possible with significant investment
Risk of termination shock
Low 3
Risk of termination shock
Low or insignificant termination shock or damage
Legality/governance
Medium 2
Legality/governance
Fits within existing structures to a certain degree, but some policy changes are needed to deploy at scale
Scientific/media attention
Low 1
There have been isolated online references to use pykrete. It has for example been featured on the online blog by Joseph Cannon on his blog CANNONFIRE https://cannonfire.blogspot.com/2009/10/global-warming-cannon-saves-world.html. Cannon reports that a similar idea had also been mentioned in TED talks.
Scientific/media attention
Very low attention from individuals and/or abandoned ideas; low media attention; no commercial interest.