Bio-energy with carbon storage BECCS
The concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere will have to be stabilized or lowered to mitigate or even reverse current global warming. To achieve this, current GHG emissions need to be reduced. Such mitigation strategies will however take time to deploy, and some emission sources will be difficult to mitigate. Moreover, since current atmospheric levels are already having a major warming effect, negative emission or Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) measures that reduce the amount of GHGs in the atmosphere are an active topic of research.
Analysis overview
Technological Readiness Level (TRL)
Medium 2
Technological Readiness Level (TRL)
A technology with a TRL of 4-6: TRL 4 – validated in lab; TRL 5 – validated in relevant environment; TRL 6 – demonstrated in relevant environment
Scalability
Medium 2
Although BECCS play an important part in all negative emission scenarios that aim to keep temperature rises within an acceptable level, serious concerns remain around the potential and effect of its scalability (Ekardt and von Bredow, 2012; Vaughan and Gough, 2016; Mander et al. 2017).
A main downside to BECCS is that it would use large volumes of biomass, and would therefore need space and nutrients that could otherwise be used to produce resources, food, or provide other ecosystem services (RoyalSociety 2018). This large-scale deployment of BECCS and the required amounts of land could also have significant negative climate effects (Newbold et al, 2015) and might affect albedo (See Bio-geoengineering to increase crop albedo), especially at high-latitudes (Fuss et al., 2018). Williamson (2016) also warns that biomass might not be as efficient at capturing CO2 at scale for use in BECCS and that the response of plants to future climate change needs to be taken into consideration. The production sites might furthermore be far removed from the places of energy generation, and might therefore come with significant extra transportation costs. These are now estimated to be around 100 to 200/tCO2 (Fuss et al. 2018). Fridahl and Lehtveer (2018), moreover, find important socio-political constraints to BECCS deployment, and highlight the need for further research into factors such as social acceptance or policy development. Chiquier et al. (2022) notes that while ‘BECCS delivers immediate and permanent CDR’, ‘its CO2 removal efficiency can be significantly impacted by any initial carbon debt associated with (direct and indirect) land use change, and thereby significantly delayed’.
Scalability
Physically somewhat scalable; linear efficiency
Timeliness for near-future effects
High 3
There are already several operational plants, but captured amounts remain minimal, and questions about scalability remain (Smith et al. 2023).
Timeliness for near-future effects
Implemented in time to make a significant difference
Northern + Arctic potential
Medium 2
Northern + Arctic potential
Statistically detectable impacts in the Arctic above the global average; no difference between deploying the solution here or elsewhere
Global potential
Medium 2
There is significant uncertainty about the potential of BECCS (Anderson and Peters, 2016; Hanssen et al. 2020), with the IPCC AR6 WG3 (2022) following the estimates of the State of Carbon Dioxide Removal report of a carbon capture potential of 0.5 to 11 GtCO2/yr (Smith et al. 2023). There are many variables that would decide the effectiveness of BECCS, with Vaughan et al’s (2018) model study for instance showing poor governance can significantly reduce the CO2 capture potential.
Global potential
Statistically detectable impacts
Cost - benefit
Medium 2
The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal report estimates potential costs of 15 to 400 $/tCO2 (Smith et al. 2023). Yet, as with biochar application (See biochar), significant uncertainties remain about the costs of BECCS deployment as there are major differences between individual projects, and much research is still needed into costs, and designing strategies that could pay for BECCS (Honegger et al. 2021). Möllersten and Naqvi reported in an overview study (2022) that estimated costs of BECCS deployment in the Nordic region would be around 60-135 USD/tCO2.
Cost - benefit
Significant investment costs needed, but still much cheaper than the avoided damage costs (e.g., 30%).
Environmental risks
Medium 2
The environmental effects of large scale BECCS deployment could be significant as unsustainable and large scale biomass harvesting could cause competition for land and water and reduce biodiversity and soil fertility (Smith et al, 2023 IPCC AR6,WG3 2022). Crucially, specific parts of the BECCS chain could be more or less sustainable, and it has to be made sure that the process as a whole has positive effects (Fajardy and Dowell, 2017; Briones-Hidrovo et al. 2022). Briones-Hidrovo et al. (2022) for example note that the use of residual forest biomass had a positive climate impact, but also had significant impact on land and water. The use of contaminated biomass could moreover incur pollution risks (Smith et al. 2023), and Deng et al (2017) point to significant risks of leakage if captured carbon needs to be transported.
Environmental risks
More widespread and possibly regional impacts that extend beyond the immediate solution deployment location
Community impacts
Unknown 0
BECCS could have positive and negative effects on local communities.Small scale bioenergy development could provide extra local income (Almena et al,.2022). And a sound growth process could improve crop growth and health, enhance biodiversity, soil health, and water quality (Smith et al, 2023). However, as large-scale BECCS deployment would require significant amounts of land and water Günther and Ekardt (2022) point out that it can have significant detrimental impacts for communities, and even violate their basic human rights like the rights to food, water, and a healthy environment. The IPCC AR6 (2022) report therefore warns that poorly implemented biomass growth for BECCS could have significant negative effects on ‘local livelihoods and on the rights of Indigenous Peoples, especially if implemented at large scales and where land tenure is insecure (high confidence).'
Ease of reversibility
Medium 2
Ease of reversibility
Possible with significant investment
Risk of termination shock
Low 3
Risk of termination shock
Low or insignificant termination shock or damage
Legality/governance
High 3
Legality/governance
Currently legal to deploy, with governance structures in place to facilitate it and/or financial incentives to develop it
Scientific/media attention
High 3
Scientific/media attention
Numerous scientific papers with substantial funding and ongoing research groups; significant media attention and "hype"; many companies exploring commercialization options
References
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Anderson, K., & Peters, G. (2016). The trouble with negative emissions. Science, 354(6309), 182-183. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aah456
C. Azar, K. Lindgren, E. Larson, K. Möllersten Carbon capture and storage from fossil fuels and biomass – costs and potential role in stabilizing the atmosphere Climatic Change, 74 (1) (2006), pp. 47-79. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-005-3484-7
Briones-Hidrovo, A., Rey, J. R. C., Dias, A. C., Tarelho, L. A., & Beauchet, S. (2022). Assessing a bio-energy system with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) through dynamic life cycle assessment and land-water-energy nexus. Energy Conversion and Management, 268, 116014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2022.116014
Chiquier, S., Patrizio, P., Bui, M., Sunny, N., & Mac Dowell, N. (2022). A comparative analysis of the efficiency, timing, and permanence of CO 2 removal pathways. Energy & Environmental Science, 15(10), 4389-4403. https://doi.org/10.1039/D2EE01021F
Deng, H.; Bielicki, J.M.; Oppenheimer, M.; Fitts, J.P.; Peters, C.A. Leakage Risks of Geologic CO2 Storage and the Impacts on the Global Energy System and Climate Change Mitigation. Clim. Change 2017, 144, 151–163. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2035-8
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